Five losses in a row feels like proof your strategy is dead. Usually it's just arithmetic doing what arithmetic does. Here's the streak math, the sizing that survives it, and how to tell variance from a genuinely broken edge.
21 min read
A 45% win rate can quietly out-earn a 90% one, and the arithmetic proving it takes five minutes. Here's why signal sellers advertise the metric that matters least, and how to audit the one that does.
22 min read
Every signal seller claims 90% accuracy. Almost none of them can define what the number means, let alone prove it. Here are the base rates honest providers actually sustain, and how to check any claim yourself.
21 min read
